Two Days, Two Polls That Spell Trouble For Mark Udall In Colorado

According To A New Quinnipiac University Poll, Republican Cory Gardner Leads Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO), 48-40 Percent Among Likely Voters. “Colorado U.S. Sen. Mark Udall trails U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner, his Republican challenger, 48 - 40 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.” (“GOP Challenger Leads Udall In Colorado Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Than One-Third Are Voting Against Obama,” Quinnipiac University, 9/18/14)

  • Independents Favor Gardner Over Udall By A 2-Point Margin. “Independent voters go 42 percent for Gardner, 40 percent for Udall and 15 percent for Shogan.” (“GOP Challenger Leads Udall In Colorado Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Than One-Third Are Voting Against Obama,” Quinnipiac University, 9/18/14)

Gardner’s Favorability Rating Among Likely Voters Is Five Points Higher Than Udall’s. “Gardner has a 47 - 37 percent favorability rating among Colorado likely voters, while Sen. Udall gets a negative 42 - 50 percent favorability.” (“GOP Challenger Leads Udall In Colorado Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Than One-Third Are Voting Against Obama,” Quinnipiac University, 9/18/14)

  • Udall Is Under Water With 50 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Holding An Unfavorable View And 42 Percent Holding A Favorable View. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,211 LV, MoE 2.8%, 9/10-15/14)
  • 47 Percent Of Likely Voters Have A Favorable View Of Gardner, While Only 37 Percent Have An Unfavorable View. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,211 LV, MoE 2.8%, 9/10-15/14)

According To The Poll, Many Coloradans Say Their Vote Will Be A Vote Against Obama

37 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Say Their Vote For Senate “Is A Vote Against President Barack Obama.” “Their U.S. Senate vote is a vote against President Barack Obama, 37 percent of Colorado likely voters say, while 13 percent say it is a vote for the president and 49 percent say Obama is not much of a factor.” (“GOP Challenger Leads Udall In Colorado Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Than One-Third Are Voting Against Obama,” Quinnipiac University, 9/18/14)

Likely Voters In Colorado Trust Gardner Over Udall And Believe He’s A Stronger Leader

By A 12-Point Margin, Gardner Is Considered More Honest And Trustworthy Than Udall. “Voters say 54 - 28 percent that Gardner is honest and trustworthy, compared to 42 percent who say Udall is honest and trustworthy and 46 percent who say he is not.” (“GOP Challenger Leads Udall In Colorado Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Than One-Third Are Voting Against Obama,” Quinnipiac University, 9/18/14)

By A 5-Point Margin, Likely Voters Say Gardner Cares More About Their Needs And Problems Than Udall.  “Gardner cares about their needs and problems, voters say 51 - 37 percent, compared to Udall’s 46 - 47 percent split.”(“GOP Challenger Leads Udall In Colorado Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Than One-Third Are Voting Against Obama,” Quinnipiac University, 9/18/14)

By A 6-Point Margin, Likely Voters In Colorado Believe Gardner Has Stronger Leadership Qualities Than Udall. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,211 LV, MoE 2.8%, 9/10-15/14)

Today’s Poll Comes On The Heels Of Yesterday’s Suffolk Poll That Found Obama Is A Drag On Colorado Democrats

USA Today Headline: “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

Obama Has “Emerged As A Drag On The Re-Election Prospects Of Democratic Sen. Mark Udall And Gov. John Hickenlooper.” “In Colorado, the state where Barack Obama was first nominated for the White House, he has emerged as a drag on the re-election prospects of Democratic Sen. Mark Udall and Gov. John Hickenlooper, a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds.” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

56 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Disapprove Of The Job Obama’s Doing As President, While Only 42 Percent Approve. “But those surveyed now disapprove of the job he’s doing as president by 56%-42%.”(Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 59 Percent Of Independents Disapprove Of The Job Obama’s Doing As President, While Only 37 Percent Approve. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

Obama’s Favorability Rating Is “Upside Down.” “His favorable-unfavorable rating also is upside down, with a 55% majority saying they have an unfavorable view of him, 43% a favorable one.” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 55 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Have An Unfavorable View Of Obama, While Only 43 Percent Have A Favorable View. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

USA Today: “The Negative Back-And-Forth Is Apparent When The Poll Asked Respondents What Came To Mind When They Heard The Candidates’ Names. For Udall, The Most Frequent Specific Responses Were ‘Obama Follower/Puppet,’ ‘Liberal’ And ‘Dishonest/Untrustworthy.’” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 35 Percent Of Likely Voters Said The First Phrase Or Word That Came To Mind When They Heard Udall’s Name Was “Obama/Follower/Puppet.” (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

Poll: Obama’s A Drag On Democrats In Colorado

USA Today Headline: “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

Obama Has “Emerged As A Drag On The Re-Election Prospects Of Democratic Sen. Mark Udall And Gov. John Hickenlooper.” “In Colorado, the state where Barack Obama was first nominated for the White House, he has emerged as a drag on the re-election prospects of Democratic Sen. Mark Udall and Gov. John Hickenlooper, a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds.” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

56 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Disapprove Of The Job Obama’s Doing As President, While Only 42 Percent Approve. “But those surveyed now disapprove of the job he’s doing as president by 56%-42%.”(Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 59 Percent Of Independents Disapprove Of The Job Obama’s Doing As President, While Only 37 Percent Approve. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

Obama’s Favorability Rating Is “Upside Down.” “His favorable-unfavorable rating also is upside down, with a 55% majority saying they have an unfavorable view of him, 43% a favorable one.” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 55 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Have An Unfavorable View Of Obama, While Only 43 Percent Have A Favorable View. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

Most Likely Voters In Colorado Believe ObamaCare “Has Been Bad For Colorado.” “What’s more, by 55%-37% they say the Affordable Care Act, the signature health care law Obama signed in 2010, generally has been bad for Colorado.” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 55 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Believe ObamaCare Has Been Generally Bad For Their State, While Only 37 Percent Believe It Has Been Generally Good. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

Many Coloradans See Udall As An “Obama Follower/Puppet”

USA Today: “The Negative Back-And-Forth Is Apparent When The Poll Asked Respondents What Came To Mind When They Heard The Candidates’ Names. For Udall, The Most Frequent Specific Responses Were ‘Obama Follower/Puppet,’ ‘Liberal’ And ‘Dishonest/Untrustworthy.’” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 35 Percent Of Likely Voters Said The First Phrase Or Word That Came To Mind When They Heard Udall’s Name Was “Obama/Follower/Puppet.” (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

The Poll “Could Be A Wake-Up Call” For Udall. “For incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, the poll could be a wake-up call; his supporters may have been lulled to sleep by consecutive polls, dating back to July, showing him in the lead.” (David Paleologos, “Paleologos On The Poll: Colorado,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

49 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Disapprove Of The Job Udall Is Doing As U.S. Senator, While 42 Percent Approve. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

  • 49 Percent Of Independents In Colorado Disapprove Of The Job Udall Is Doing As U.S. Senator, While Only 40 Percent Approve. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

44 Percent Of Likely Voters In Colorado Have An Unfavorable View Of Udall, While 43 Percent Have A Positive View. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

Likely Voters In Colorado Favor Republicans Over Democrats

By A 6-Point Margin, Likely Voters In Colorado Plan To Vote For Republican House Candidate Over Democrat Candidates. “When it comes to House races, those surveyed say by 46%-40% that they plan to vote for the Republican candidate, not the Democratic one.” (Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

  • 46 Percent Of Likely Voters Said They Would Either Vote Or Lean Toward Voting For The Republican Candidate, While 40 Percent Said They Would Either Vote Or Lean Toward Voting For The Democrat Candidate. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

More Likely Voters In Colorado Identify As Republicans Than Democrats. “The survey shows more likely voters identify themselves as Republicans than Democrats, 33% to 31%.”(Susan Page, “Poll: In Colorado, Obama Is A Drag On Democrats,” USA Today, 9/17/14)

Most Likely Voters In Colorado Also Have An Unfavorable View Of Hillary Clinton

49 Percent Of Likely Voters Have An Unfavorable View Of Clinton, While 42 Percent Have A Favorable View. (USA Today/Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 9/13-16/14)

A New Poll In Iowa Is Giving Bruce Braley The Blues

Joni Ernst Is Leading Rep. Bruce Braley (D-IA) By Six Points Among Likely Voters, According To A New Quinnipiac Poll Released Today. “Neutralizing the traditional Democratic lead among women voters, Republican State Sen. Joni Ernst leads U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley, the Democrat, 50 - 44 percent among likely voters in the race to replace U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin in Iowa, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.” (Press Release, “Republican Up 6 Points In Iowa Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Big Gender Gap As Men Back Ernst By 17 Points,” Quinnipiac University, 9/17/14)

When It Comes To Independents, A Key Voter Demographic, Ernst Holds A Significant Lead Over Braley By A Margin Of 50 To 43 Percent. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,167 LV, MoE, 2.9%, 9/10-15/2014)

  • “‘The Tale Of Independent Voters Tells You All You Need To Know About The Iowa Senate Race,’ Said Peter A. Brown, Assistant Director Of The Quinnipiac University Poll.” (Press Release, “Republican Up 6 Points In Iowa Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Big Gender Gap As Men Back Ernst By 17 Points,” Quinnipiac University, 9/17/14)

Braley Is Underwater With Likely Voters, With 41 Percent Of Iowans Holding An Unfavorable View Of Him And 38 Percent Holding A Favorable View. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,167 LV, MoE, 2.9%, 9/10-15/2014)

Ernst Leads Braley In Many Key Character Traits

55 Percent Of Iowans Believe Ernst Is Trustworthy While Only 45 Percent Believe Braley Is Trustworthy. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,167 LV, MoE, 2.9%, 9/10-15/2014)

52 Percent Of Iowans Believe Ernst Cares About Their Needs While Only 48 Percent Feel The Same About Braley. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,167 LV, MoE, 2.9%, 9/10-15/2014)

60 Percent Of Iowans Feel That Ernst Has Strong Leadership Skills While Only 48 Percent Of Iowans Believe Braley Has Strong Leadership Skills. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,167 LV, MoE, 2.9%, 9/10-15/2014)

And Iowa Voters Are Also Preparing To Send A Message To Obama

28 Percent Of Iowans Think Of Their Senate Vote As A Vote Against Obama, While Only 12 Percent Think Of Their Vote As In Favor Of Obama. (Quinnipiac University Poll, 1,167 LV, MoE, 2.9%, 9/10-15/2014)

  • Brown: “There Is Also A Message To President Barack Obama In These Numbers. Almost Three In 10 Voters Say Theirs Is Mainly A Vote Against The President, A Troubling Number For Democrats. Only 12 Percent Say They Are Voting To Back The President.” (Press Release, “Republican Up 6 Points In Iowa Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Big Gender Gap As Men Back Ernst By 17 Points,” Quinnipiac University, 9/17/14)