New England College Poll: All Tied Up In New Hampshire Senate Race

NH1 News Headline: “Republican Challengers Make Gains In New NH1 Poll” (Paul Steinhauser, “Republican Challengers Make Gains In New NH1 Poll,” NH1, 10/1/14)

According To A New England College Poll, New Hampshire’s Senate Race Between Democrat Candidate Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) And Republican Candidate Scott Brown Is “All Tied Up.” “With just over a month to go until Election Day, a new survey indicates that New Hampshire’s U.S. Senate battle between Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen and Republican challenger Scott Brown is all tied up.” (Paul Steinhauser, “Republican Challengers Make Gains In New NH1 Poll,” NH1, 10/1/14)

  • Brown And Shaheen Are Tied At 47 Percent Among Likely Voters. “The automated poll indicates that Shaheen and Brown are both tied at 47% among likely voters, with six percent saying they’re backing another candidate or are undecided.” (Paul Steinhauser, “Republican Challengers Make Gains In New NH1 Poll,” NH1, 10/1/14)
  • This Is A Large Shift From Last Week’s Poll, In Which Shaheen Led Brown 50.1 Percent To 42.8 Percent. (New England College Poll, 1,494 RLV, MoE 2.54%, 9/19-20/14)

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More Headaches For ObamaCare And Franken In Minnesota

The Cost Of Insurance On Minnesota’s ObamaCare Exchange, MNSure, “Is On The Rise.” “The cost of insurance on the MNsure health exchange is on the rise, state officials said Wednesday, with partisans picking different numbers to suggest the jumps will be small or large.” (Christopher Snowbeck, “MNsure Premiums To Increase In 2015,” Minnesota Star Tribune, 10/1/14)

After The Withdrawal Of MNSure’s Largest Insurer, The Cheapest Insurance Options Available To Consumers In 2015 “Will Jump By Anywhere From 18 Percent To 37 Percent.” “But the 4.5 percent figure comes with a big asterisk, because it doesn’t factor current rates from Golden Valley-based PreferredOne — the largest insurance company on the MNsure exchange, and the health plan with the lowest rates. PreferredOne announced last month that it’s pulling out of MNsure for 2015, and the result is that the cheapest options available to consumers next year will jump by anywhere from 18 percent to 37 percent.” (Christopher Snowbeck, “MNsure Premiums To Increase In 2015,” Minnesota Star Tribune, 10/1/14)

A 25-Year-Old Twin Cities Resident Will Face “An Increase Of About 21 Percent” In 2015 For A Bronze Level Insurance Plan. “This year, a 25-year-old in the Twin Cities could pay PreferredOne just $91 per month for ‘bronze’ level coverage. But a Twin Cities consumer that age won’t be able to find a bronze level policy for 2015 for less than $110 — an increase of about 21 percent.” (Christopher Snowbeck, “MNsure Premiums To Increase In 2015,” Minnesota Star Tribune, 10/1/14)

  • “There Also Are Double-Digit Jumps In The Premium Prices For People In The Twin Cities Age 25, 40 And 60 Who Buy The Cheapest Bronze, Silver, Gold And Platinum Level Policies…” “There also are double-digit jumps in the premium prices for people in the Twin Cities age 25, 40 and 60 who buy the cheapest bronze, silver, gold and platinum level policies, according to materials the Minnesota Department of Commerce released Wednesday.” (Christopher Snowbeck, “MNsure Premiums To Increase In 2015,” Minnesota Star Tribune, 10/1/14)

FLASHBACK: In 2011, Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) Claimed ObamaCare Had Made It “Cheaper For People” To Buy Insurance And The Law Was “Already Reining In Health Care Costs For Working Families.” FRANKEN: “In its first year, the Affordable Care Act has made it easier and cheaper for people all over the country to get quality health care. It prevents insurers from cutting off coverage because of lifetime caps and from denying coverage to children who have pre-existing conditions. In Minnesota alone, 16,000 young adults are now eligible for their parents’ health insurance and nearly 100,000 small businesses are eligible for tax credits to help them cover their employees.  … I’m particularly proud to say that a provision I fought successfully to include in the law is already reining in health care costs for working families.” (Press Release, Sen. Franken’s Statement On One-Year Anniversary Of Health Reform, Sen. Al Franken, 3/22/11)

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Marquette Law School Poll: Walker Leads Burke By 5 Points In Wisconsin

According To A New Marquette Law School Poll, Republican Gov. Scott Walker Leads Democrat Candidate Mary Burke By A 5-Point Margin With Likely Voters, 50 Percent To 45 Percent. “A new Marquette Law School Poll in the Wisconsin governor’s race finds Republican Gov. Scott Walker receiving the support of 50 percent of likely voters and Democratic challenger Mary Burke receiving 45 percent support.” (Charles Franklin, “New Marquette Law School Poll Finds Walker Leading In Race For Wisconsin Governor; Attorney General Race Remains Tied,” Marquette University Law School, 10/1/14)

  • Since Last Month’s Poll, Walker Has Expanded His Lead By 1 Point Over Burke. “In the previous Marquette poll, conducted Sept. 11-14, Walker held a 49-46 edge over Burke among likely voters and registered voters tied at 46 percent support for each candidate.” (Charles Franklin, “New Marquette Law School Poll Finds Walker Leading In Race For Wisconsin Governor; Attorney General Race Remains Tied,” Marquette University Law School, 10/1/14)

Walker Has A 13-Point Advantage Over Burke With Independent Voters, 53 Percent To 40 Percent. “Walker wins 95 percent of Republican likely voters while Burke wins 94 percent of Democrats. Independents support Walker by 53 percent to Burke’s 40 percent.” (Charles Franklin, “New Marquette Law School Poll Finds Walker Leading In Race For Wisconsin Governor; Attorney General Race Remains Tied,” Marquette University Law School, 10/1/14)

54 Percent Of Registered Voters “Say That They Have Read Or Heard About Recent News Reports That The Burke Campaign Copied Parts Of A Jobs Plan From The Campaigns Of Other Democratic Candidates.” “Just over half of registered voters, 54 percent, say that they have read or heard about recent news reports that the Burke campaign copied parts of a jobs plan from the campaigns of other Democratic candidates, while 45 percent say that they have not heard of this story.” (Charles Franklin, “New Marquette Law School Poll Finds Walker Leading In Race For Wisconsin Governor; Attorney General Race Remains Tied,” Marquette University Law School, 10/1/14)

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Idaho School District Cuts Worker Hours Due To ObamaCare

Under ObamaCare, The Twin Falls School District Has Slashed The Hours Of More Than 150 Employees After Administrators Said That “Maintaining Work Hours Would Cost the District $1 Million.” “The Twin Falls School District has slashed scores of employees’ hours amid fears of skyrocketing health-care costs under the Affordable Care Act. Other Magic Valley districts have yet to take that leap, however. The Twin Falls School Board approved the move to slash hours for more than 150 non-professional, or classified, staff after administrators said maintaining work hours would cost the district $1 million.” (Jon Alexander, “Workers’ Hours Slashed At Twin Falls Schools,” Times-News, 10/1/14)

“The Board Moved To Cut The Weekly Hours Of Food Service Employees, Teaching Aides And Other Non-Professionals To 27.5, Down From 30 To 34 Hours.” (Jon Alexander, “Workers’ Hours Slashed At Twin Falls Schools,” Times-News, 10/1/14)

  • Those Workers Annual Pay Was Cut By “$535 To $2,100.” “Those workers’ annual pay thus was cut by $535 to $2,100. But administrators said the move was necessary to keep cash flowing into the classroom.” (Jon Alexander, “Workers’ Hours Slashed At Twin Falls Schools,” Times-News, 10/1/14)

District Human Resources Director Shannon Swafford: “It’s An Unintended Consequence Of The Health Care Reform Act.” “It’s an unintended consequence of the health care reform act,’ district Human Resources Director Shannon Swafford said Tuesday.”(Jon Alexander, “Workers’ Hours Slashed At Twin Falls Schools,” Times-News, 10/1/14)

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Democrat Poll: Ernst Leads Braley, As Obama’s Ratings Remain Underwater

According To A New PPP Poll, Republican Joni Ernst Leads Rep. Bruce Braley (D-IA) In Iowa’s U.S. Senate Race. “PPP’s newest Iowa Senate poll continues to find a tight race with Joni Ernst slightly ahead of Bruce Braley. Ernst is ahead 44/42 when all the third party candidates are included, and 45/43 in a straight head to head.” (“Iowa Senate Race Remains Close, Slight Edge To Ernst,” Public Policy Polling, 9/30/14)

  • 44 Percent Of Likely Voters In Iowa Said They Would Vote For Ernst, While 42 Percent Said They Would Vote For Braley If The Election Was Held Today. (Public Policy Polling Poll, 1,192 LV, MoE 2.8%, 9/25-28/14)

This Is The First PPP Poll That Shows Ernst “With A Better Net Favorability Rating Than Braley.”  “Even though the horse race numbers haven’t changed much, this is the first time we’ve found Ernst with a better net favorability rating than Braley.” (“Iowa Senate Race Remains Close, Slight Edge To Ernst,” Public Policy Polling, 9/30/14)

  • 42 Percent Of Voters Have A Favorable Opinion Of Ernst, While Only 37 Percent Have A Favorable Opinion Of Braley. (Public Policy Polling Poll, 1,192 LV, MoE 2.8%, 9/25-28/14)
  • Braley Has A Net -20 Favorability Rating Among Iowa Independents, With A Mere 27 Percent Holding A Favorable View And 47 Percent Holding An Unfavorable View. (Public Policy Polling Poll, 1,192 LV, MoE 2.8%, 9/25-28/14)

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