ROMNEY IS LEADING OBAMA ON THE ECONOMY

“Among Registered Voters Who Call The Economy ‘Extremely’ Important In Their Vote Choice, Romney Leads In Vote Preference By 54-41 Percent.” “And among registered voters who call the economy ‘extremely’ important in their vote choice, Romney leads in vote preference by 54-41 percent. Those results underscore the extent to which Obama needs the economy to improve or – an equally difficult task – the subject to change.” (Gary Langer, Dead Heat In Vote Preferences Presages An Epic Battle Ahead,” ABC News, 7/10/12)

Quinnipiac Poll: 48 Percent  Of Independents Think Romney Would Do A Better Job On The Economy, While 39 Percent Think Obama Would Do Better. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

Quinnipiac Poll: 47 Percent Of Voters Think Romney Would Be Better For Their Economic Future, While 44 Percent Say Obama Would. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

• 48 Percent Of Independents Think Romney Would Be Better For Their Economic Future, While 40 Percent Say Obama Would. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

The Washington Post – ABC News Poll: 49 Percent Of Americans Say They Trust Romney To Handle The Economy, Compared To 44 Percent Who Say They Trust Obama.  (The Washington Post-ABC News, 1,003 A, MoE 4% 7/5 – 8/12)

The Washington Post – ABC News Poll: 52 Percent Of Americans Say They Trust Romney To Handle Federal Budget Deficit, Compared To 42 Percent Who Say They Trust Obama.  (The Washington Post-ABC News, 1,003 A, MoE 4% 7/5 – 8/12) 

IN POLL AFTER POLL, OBAMA’S APPROVAL IS SAGGING

“His Overall Rating Hasn’t Budged Since May, With 47 Percent Of Americans Approving And 49 Percent Disapproving, Hardly The Split An Incumbent Would Hope To See When Facing Reelection.” (Gary Langer, Dead Heat In Vote Preferences Presages An Epic Battle Ahead,” ABC News, 7/10/12)

The Washington Post – ABC News Poll: 34 Percent Of Americans Say They “Strongly” Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, Compared To 24 Percent Who Say They “Strongly” Approve. (The Washington Post-ABC News, 1,003 A, MoE 4% 7/5 – 8/12)

Quinnipiac Poll: 49 Percent Of Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, While 45 Percent Approve. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

• 52-40 Percent Independents Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

OBAMA HAS A FAVORABILITY PROBLEM

48 Percent Of Voters Have An Unfavorable View Of Obama, While 45 Have Favorable View. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

• 50 Percent Of Independents Have An Unfavorable View Of Obama, While 41 Percent Have Favorable View. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

VOTERS DON’T WANT TO GIVE OBAMA A SECOND TERM

Quinnipiac Poll: 49 Percent Of Voters Don’t Believe Obama Deserves To Be Reelected, While 47 Percent Believe He Does. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

• 53 Percent Of Independents And 49 Percent Of Americans Say Obama Does Not Deserve Reelection. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

IRRESPECTIVE OF THE POLL, VOTERS AREN’T HAPPY WITH OBAMA’S HANDLING OF THE ECONOMY

Quinnipiac Poll: 50 Percent Of Voters Have A  “Somewhat” Or “Strongly” Unfavorable View Of Obama’s Plan For The Economy, While 44 Percent Have A “Somewhat” Or “Strongly” Favorable View. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

• Among Independents, 55 Percent Have A “Somewhat” Or “Strongly” Unfavorable View Of Obama’s Plan For The Economy, While 38 Percent Have A “Somewhat” Or “Strongly” Favorable View. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

Quinnipiac Poll: 55 Percent Of Americans Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy, While 40 Percent Approve. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

• 60 Percent Of Independents Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy, While 34 Percent Approve. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

The Washington Post –ABC News Poll: 54 Percent Of Americans Say They Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy, While 44 Percent Say They Approve. (The Washington Post-ABC News, 1,003 A, MoE 4% 7/5 – 8/12)

• 44 Percent Of Americans Say They “Strongly” Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy, Compared To 21 Percent Who Say They “Strongly” Approve. (The Washington Post-ABC News, 1,003 A, MoE 4% 7/5 – 8/12)
• “Still, The Public, By A 7-Point Margin, 43-36 Percent, Calls Obama’s Handling Of The Economy A Major Reason To Oppose Rather Than To Support Him.” (Gary Langer, Dead Heat In Vote Preferences Presages An Epic Battle Ahead,” ABC News, 7/10/12)

EVEN SOME DEMOCRATS SAY OBAMA’S CHANGE HAS BEEN FOR THE GOOD

At 56 Percent, A Majority Of Likely Voters Believe Obama Has Changed The Country In A Negative Way. “Two-thirds of likely voters say President Obama has kept his 2008 campaign promise to change America — but it’s changed for the worse, according to a sizable majority. A new poll for The Hill found 56 percent of likely voters believe Obama’s first term has transformed the nation in a negative way, compared to 35 percent who believe the country has changed for the better under his leadership.” (Sheldon Alberts, “Hill Poll: Majority Believe Obama Has Changed Country For Worse,” The Hill, 7/9/12)

• Even One In Five Democrats Feel Obama Has Changed America For The Worse. “The feeling that Obama has changed the country for the worse is strongest among Republicans, at 91 percent, compared to 71 percent of Democrats who support Obama’s brand of change.  Strikingly, 1-in-5 Democrats say they feel Obama has changed the United States for the worse.” (Sheldon Alberts, “Hill Poll: Majority Believe Obama Has Changed Country For Worse,” The Hill, 7/9/12)

AMERICANS BELIEVE THE COUNTRY IS ON THE WRONG TRACK

The Washington Post – ABC News Poll: 63 Percent Of Americans Say The Country Is On The Wrong Track, While 33 Percent Say Its Headed In The Right Direction. (The Washington Post-ABC News, 1,003 A, MoE 4% 7/5 – 8/12)

Quinnipiac Poll: 70 Percent Of Voters Are Either “Somewhat” Or “Very” Dissatisfied With The Direction The Country Is Going, Compared To 29 Percent Who Are Either “Somewhat” Or “Very” Satisfied. (Quinnipiac Poll, 2,722 RV MoE 1.9%, 7/1 – 8/12)

THE SWING STATES ARE SENDING A MESSAGE

Gallup Poll: By A 31- 23 Margin, Voters In Swing States Who Support Romney Are More Likely Than Those Who Support Obama To Say They Feel “Extremely Enthusiastic” About Voting. “However, voters in swing states who support Romney for president are more likely than those backing Obama to say they feel ‘extremely enthusiastic’ about voting — 31% to 23%. The same pattern is seen by party, with 32% of Republicans in the swing states and 25% of Democrats reporting extreme enthusiasm.”(Lydia Saad, “Swing-State Voters’ Enthusiasm Matches Voters’ Nationally,” Gallup, 7/9/12)

• Over All, Swing-State Romney Voters Are More Enthusiastic Than Obama Voters By A 51-47 Margin. (Lydia Saad, “Swing-State Voters’ Enthusiasm Matches Voters’ Nationally,” Gallup, 7/9/12)
• Among All States, Romney Voters Are More Enthusiastic Than Obama Voters By A 49-45 Margin. (Lydia Saad, “Swing-State Voters’ Enthusiasm Matches Voters’ Nationally,” Gallup, 7/9/12)

ABC News Poll: Obama Is Losing Swing State Independents By 14 Percentage Points. “And among groups, he’s losing swing-voting independents by a record 14 percentage points.” (Gary Langer, Dead Heat In Vote Preferences Presages An Epic Battle Ahead,” ABC News, 7/10/12)

• “Vote Preferences Among Groups, As Noted, Include Romney’s Best Showing To Date Among Registered Voters Who Identify Themselves As Independents, 53-39 Percent.” (Gary Langer, Dead Heat In Vote Preferences Presages An Epic Battle Ahead,” ABC News, 7/10/12)