DEMOCRATS NOT TURNING OUT FOR OBAMA

Last night in Rhode Island, Democrats continued the trend they’ve set throughout the primary of lower turnout than 16 years ago, the last time a Democratic President was running for renomination unopposed.

In 1996, 8,780 Votes Were Cast In The Rhode Island Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 4/25/12)

·       In 2012, 7,859 Votes Had Been Cast In The Rhode Island Democratic Presidential Primary. (Politico, 4/25/10)

The Washington Post’s Aaron Blake: “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too” (Aaron Blake, “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/13/12)

Democratic Turnout Is Down Significantly Compared To The Last Time A Democrat President Was Running Unopposed For Renomination – Bill Clinton In 1996. “A review of the states that have also held Democratic contests this year shows turnout is down sharply from the last time a Democratic president was running largely unopposed for renomination — 1996.” (Aaron Blake, “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/13/12)

  • “Turnout In Ohio, New Hampshire, Iowa, Oklahoma And Tennessee Is Down At Least 29 Percent From 16 Years Ago.” “Turnout in Ohio, New Hampshire, Iowa, Oklahoma and Tennessee is down at least 29 percent from 16 years ago, and in Massachusetts, it was down 8 percent, according to a Fix review. The numbers paint a picture that might lead some to ask whether Democrats are also facing an enthusiasm gap. (Aaron Blake, “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/13/12)

·       “The Two States Where It Has Gone Up Are Somewhat Special Cases” That Include A Large Population Increase And A 1996 Primary Election In Which President Clinton Was Not On The Ballot. “The two states where it has gone up are somewhat special cases. In Michigan, where turnout was up 37 percent from 1996, Clinton wasn’t on the ballot that year, and in Georgia, where turnout was up 46 percent, the state’s population has grown by about a third over the same span. (By comparison, GOP turnout in Georgia was up 61 percent from 1996.)” (Aaron Blake, “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/13/12)

“The Numbers Do Lend Credence To The Idea That Democrats Are Also Not Terribly Excited About Voting In This Year’s Presidential Election.” (Aaron Blake, “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/13/12)

Iowa:

In 1996, Party Leaders Estimated Democratic Turnout To Be 50,000 Votes. “The Iowa numbers aren’t official, but party leaders in 1996 reportedly estimated turnout at about 50,000…” (Aaron Blake, “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/13/12)

In 2012, Party Leaders Estimated Democratic Turnout To Be 25,000 Votes. “[In 2012, party leaders] estimated it at around 25,000 — a dropoff of half.” (Aaron Blake, “Obama May Have A Turnout Problem, Too,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/13/12)

New Hampshire:

In 1996, 91,027 Votes Were Cast In The New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 61,777 Votes Had Been Cast In The New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary. (New Hampshire Secretary Of State Website, 1/10/12)

Tennessee:

In 1996, 122,538 Votes Were Cast In The Tennessee Democratic Presidential Primary For President Bill Clinton. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 80,355 Votes Had Been Cast In The Tennessee Democratic Presidential Primary For President Barack Obama. (Politico, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 1996, 137,797 Votes Were Cast In The Tennessee Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 90,766 Votes Had Been Cast In The Tennessee Democratic Presidential Primary. (Politico, Accessed 3/7/12)

Ohio:

In 1996, 776,530 Votes Were Cast In The Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 547,588 Votes Had Been Cast In The Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary. (Ohio Secretary Of State Website, Accessed 3/7/12)

Massachusetts:

In 1996, 155,470 Votes Were Cast In The Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 143,503 Votes Had Been Cast In The Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary. (Politico Website, Accessed 3/7/12)

Oklahoma:

In 1996, 279,454 Votes Were Cast In The Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Primary For President Bill Clinton. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 64,257 Votes Had Been Cast In The Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Primary For President Barack Obama. (Politico Website, Accessed 3/7/12)

“Even In The Most Urban Area Of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City-Based Oklahoma County, Obama Took Just 42 Percent Of The Vote.” (Aaron Blake, “Why Oklahoma Is So Anti-Obama,” The Washington Post’s The Fix, 3/7/12)

In 1996, 366,604 Votes Were Cast In The Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 112,597 Votes Had Been Cast In The Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Primary. (Politico Website, Accessed 3/7/12)

Alabama:

In 1996, 243,588 Votes Were Cast In The Alabama Democratic Presidential Primary For President Bill Clinton. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 166,428 Votes Had Been Cast In The Alabama Democratic Presidential Primary For President Barack Obama. (Politico, Accessed 3/14/12)

In 1996, 302,038 Votes Were Cast In The Alabama Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 205,942 Votes Had Been Cast In The Alabama Democratic Presidential Primary. (Politico, Accessed 3/14/12)

Louisiana:

In 1996, 154,701 Votes Were Cast In The Louisiana Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 3/7/12)

In 2012, 150,536 Votes Were Cast In The Louisiana Democratic Presidential Primary. (Politico, Accessed 3/25/12)

John Wolfe Jr. Was Eligible For At Least Three Delegates To The DNC Convention After The Louisiana Primary. “If all goes according to Hoyle, after the Louisiana secretary of state’s office certifies Friday the results of the Louisiana presidential primary, the state Democratic Party will determine that a Chattanooga, Tenn. attorney by the name of John Wolfe Jr. is eligible for at least three delegates to the Democratic National Convention in September.” (Jonathan Tilove, “John Wolfe Faces Challenge To Place On Texas Ballot,” The Times-Picayune, 3/28/12)

Wisconsin:

In 1996, 356,168 Votes Were Cast In The Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary. (Federal Election Commission, Accessed 4/4/12)

In 2012, 298,410 Votes Had Been Cast In The Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary. (Politico, Accessed 4/4/12)